Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 9.356355 10.398127 11.556365 12.948882 14.590091 16.478591 18.839053
2025-04-20 8.575089 10.061425 11.850090 14.199052 17.261587 21.206974 26.828554
2025-04-27 7.823741 9.503116 11.630955 14.597907 18.754089 24.582086 33.805332
2025-05-04 6.972578 8.668532 10.894171 14.130645 18.906516 26.045643 38.326338
2025-05-11 6.573883 8.359844 10.785971 14.466448 20.198201 29.374538 46.712942
2025-05-18 6.096490 7.885398 10.379951 14.290095 20.645491 31.408909 53.454443
2025-05-25 5.700910 7.483350 10.026578 14.131067 21.067402 33.450928 60.898273
2025-06-01 5.390657 7.173385 9.772032 14.083486 21.649100 35.882501 70.120276
2025-06-08 5.048950 6.789456 9.368830 13.741911 21.649348 37.176224 77.217160
2025-06-15 4.821700 6.557802 9.177344 13.725674 22.231087 39.772586 88.930610
2025-06-22 4.501310 6.164223 8.700942 13.170505 21.705651 39.867543 93.637284
2025-06-29 4.195930 5.776722 8.208808 12.543560 20.959820 39.324441 96.214809
2025-07-06 3.937984 5.458326 7.822893 12.099803 20.583957 39.717638 102.730289
2025-07-13 4.002798 5.647072 8.278469 13.229103 23.642502 49.416914 151.445777
2025-07-20 3.920265 5.593827 8.322133 13.590150 25.119531 55.591104 194.524822
2025-07-27 3.713524 5.327048 7.980458 13.167412 24.738506 56.328400 211.412941
2025-08-03 3.639678 5.273536 8.004893 13.471265 26.125318 62.967797 274.317776
2025-08-10 3.500379 5.103470 7.811192 13.311727 26.352193 65.973599 319.856411
2025-08-17 3.373550 4.947889 7.633401 13.167795 26.597226 69.171812 375.839903
2025-08-24 3.269814 4.826198 7.509208 13.124718 27.101038 73.562064 458.365494
2025-08-31 3.136541 4.648005 7.271004 12.815303 26.841544 74.944369 514.156572
2025-09-07 3.050863 4.547913 7.171812 12.800587 27.397169 79.926979 643.439634
2025-09-14 2.907111 4.341450 6.863066 12.297011 26.496627 78.378181 665.572446